Quick Alert: HP and Brocade; “…Be Nice Until It’s Time to Not Be Nice…”

The HP Technology Forum 2010 is in full swing as HP and Brocade continue to “be nice” and reaffirm their decade old partnership.  According to Brocade’s press release, “…Brocade and HP enjoy the largest SAN customer base with over 3.5 million HP B-series ports installed.”  Note: HP OEM’s Brocade’s technology under the HP StorageWorks brand.

What did they announce? A new 64-port 8Gbps Fibre Channel module for HP’s StorageWorks SAN switches, a new host bus adapter card for HP’s BladeSystem C-class servers, and a the availability of HP StorageWorks P2000 G3 Smart Array that creates a deployment ready bundle of storage arrays, SAN switches, and HBAs.

Brocade has a two-pronged strategy: Arm the likes of HP and IBM with OEM’d products and provide a competitive vision of the next generation data center within Brocade One.  This “have your cake and eat it too” strategy is needed to combat Brocade’s largest rivals while shielding them from Cisco.  However, whatever revenue benefits this brings Brocade in the short-term may be overshadowed by an inevitable showdown between Brocade Foundry and HP ProCurve in the long-term.  After all, if you are Brocade you don’t spend $3 billion on Foundry Networks to play third or fourth fiddle and if you are HP you don’t spend $2.7 billion on 3Com to “margin share” with an OEM.

In the end, I’m reminded of a scene in Road House where Dalton says; “I want you to be nice until it’s time to not be nice.”  And how will you know when not to be nice?  When Mark Hurd says so.

2009: We Fooled You

As 2009 comes to a close, below is my very incomplete list of top “we fooled you” moments of 2009.

  • Cloud Computing trumps everything
  • Virtualization renders the OS irrelevant
  • Google “does no evil”
  • Cisco can’t grow or compete
  • Outsourcing isn’t forever
  • Chrome is better than Firefox or IE
  • Storm / Android beats the iPhone
  • Bobby (Foundry) would never sell
  • Huawei will falter
  • HP can’t catch IBM
  • IBM wouldn’t get back into networking equipment
  • Sun is dead
  • Open Source Software kills ISVs
  • Open Source Hardware dominates storage
  • Free Software – LOL
  • PBT vs. MPLS
  • Nortel would be saved
  • Web vs. traditional advertising
  • Juniper would never enter switching
  • Oracle is just a database company
  • Apple vs. Microsoft
  • Dell doesn’t care about services
  • IPOs are dead
  • Facebook is a fad
  • LTE is years away
  • Cisco UCS crushes HP, IBM, Dell, and more.
  • Business Intelligence wars would end
  • IPv6 – enough said
  • All start-ups need traditional VCs
  • Internet / IP Security is solid
  • Google Apps ends the need for Microsoft Office
  • Yahoo is dead
  • Linux Desktop vs. Apple and Microsoft

2009 was both an exciting and frustrating year for technology.  The battle lines are drawn for 2010 and I’m looking forward to a great and surprising year.

Happy New Year!

IBM fires directly at Cisco’s revenue!

It seems that my friends at IBM have finally realized that Cisco is serious about taking them out. As I have stated before, Cisco has feasted on smaller rivals and shrewed acquisitions. However, they have never faced a competitor with the talent, resources, patents, and reach such as IBM.

A few days ago, IBM launched a patent assault on Cisco by cross-licencing technology to BLADE. Today, IBM is moving further away from Cisco and will begin selling Ethernet switching and routing products from Brocade. While IBM has dabbled with Juniper, Brocade is a serous enterprise threat to Cisco via their acquisition of Foundry Networks.

Cisco relies on IBM and IBM Global Services to resell their equipment to enterprises around the world. As IBM begins to diversify its portfolio, Cisco sales are sure to suffer. Combine this with the fact that Cisco faces the same issue with HP, and it could spell trouble.

Additionally, if Sun and/or Dell ever get their act together they could do some damage as well. Never mind the fact that Huawei’s growing like a weed, Nokia is looking to buy parts of Nortel, and Siemens is back on track, and Alcatel-Lucent looks like it is finally coming together. How many battles does Cisco want to fight at once? What about Cisco’s other divisions?

IBM isn’t going to cede the data center to Cisco or anyone else. Plus, IBM has the tools needed to manage the entire infrastructure; something Cisco must acquire (BMC). For now, let’s see if this three way war between Cisco, HP, and IBM leads to a victor or will someone unexpected arise? One thing is for sure, IBM’s going for the revenue jugular.

Cisco: No Shaking in these Boots

Over the past three weeks Cisco has watched Juniper announce stellar earnings, Brocade purchase Foundry, and now Siemens and Enterasys form a Joint Venture.  From the countless analyst reports, news articles, and blog entries, you would think that Cisco was on the verge of a complete collapse.

When Juniper announced stellar earnings, people wrote “it’s a two horse race.”  After Brocade made their move the headlines read, “Brocade gunning for Cisco.”  Finally, now that Enterasys and Siemens have joined forces, the headlines read, “Watch out Cisco.”  

Does anyone believe that these moves came as a surprise to Cisco?  Did John Chambers wake up to the San Jose News only to call an emergency meeting of his top executives?  Did Chambers lament about not buying Foundry’s problems, Enterasys’ flat-line revenue growth, or worry about Juniper’s identity crisis?

Perhaps human nature predisposes us to root for the underdog and loath the leaders.  However, this phenomenon seems to be particularly strong within the technology sector.   After all, does anyone loath Boeing or GE?  What feelings are invoked when I mention Microsoft, Oracle, Adobe, IBM, or HP?  Even Google has found that being the leader (by a wide margin) conjures images of evil and ulterior motives. 

Whether you can admit it or not, Cisco is a well oiled machine.  They have revenues of over $34 Billion, have over 60,000 employees, have a robust network of channel partners, and have a legion of certified Cisco engineers.  They understand that evolutionary technology changes come from within while revolutionary technology changes come from acquisition.

This week we are talking about Enterasys, next week we’ll be talking about Extreme Networks, and then someone will write how networking and Cisco have to change to meet the demands of “cloud computing.”   In the end, it’s all simply noise.  No one needs to wake the sleeping giant, because under Chamber’s leadership Cisco is not sleeping.

Save the sensational headlines and predictions for politics.  Cisco’s not shaking in their boots but the same may not be true for their competition.

Three Cheers: Juniper, Microsoft, Brocade

Juniper:  Juniper says good-bye to outgoing CEO Scott Kriens and hello to new CEO Kevin Johnson.  While Mr. Kriens has done a great job in getting Juniper to a $3 Billion company in 12 years, he has yet to “crack the code” on beating Cisco on their home turf; enterprise customers.  Juniper needs new leadership to push their vision, innovation, and to speed the development of new products.  Perhaps it’s time for Juniper to stop chasing Moby Dick! 

Microsoft:  Microsoft shows true vision by purchasing DATAllegro and advancing massively parallel processing (MPP).  Microsoft’s purchase should be a warning to established MPP vendors such as Teradata while newcomers such as Aster Data may have awoken the sleeping giant.  Finally, Microsoft’s decision may push Oracle into MPP as a follower not a leader.  Perhaps it’s time for Microsoft to get some credit for “non-Google” thoughts!

Brocade:  Brocade’s $3 Billion purchase of Foundry Networks is both gutsy and a gamble.  Brocade’s dominance in storage networking combined with Foundry’s IP centric product line could spell trouble for Cisco.  Additionally, Foundry may have finally found shelter and breathing room from Juniper but will Bobby Johnson (Foundry CEO) finally give up control and allow Foundry to follow new leadership and go in a new direction?  This purchase signals the opening salvo in the battle for the next generation datacenter with plenty more to come.  Perhaps it’s time for Brocade to stand-up to the King!

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